农夫山泉宣布涨价!其他品牌会跟进吗?******
中新经纬2月2日电 (闫淑鑫 实习生 赵薇)近日,一则涨价通知,让农夫山泉成为了外界关注的对象。
根据通知,农夫山泉上调了杭州市部分规格桶装水售价,涨幅10%。此前,农夫山泉也曾在上海地区对桶装水进行提价。
农夫山泉此次涨价会波及到其他城市吗?瓶装水也会加入其中吗?
涨幅10%,其他城市会加入吗?
中新经纬注意到,最开始在业界流传的是一张农夫山泉《杭州区域19升水调价通知》,《通知》显示,因物价、原材料、人工及运费等成本不断上涨,2月1日起,杭州市19升桶装水价格调整为22元/桶。据悉,此前,杭州市19升农夫山泉桶装水的售价为20元/桶。
2日,农夫山泉客服向中新经纬证实了上述通知内容。该客服称,“其他规格的暂时没有通知。目前只有杭州地区(涨价),其他地区暂时不清楚。”
值得一提的是,2022年,农夫山泉也曾对上海地区19升桶装水的售价进行上调,由26元/桶调整到28元/桶,原因也是“原材料、人力、运输等运营成本的影响”。
未来是否会有更多城市对桶装水进行提价?瓶装水是否也会加入涨价行列?2日,针对这些问题中新经纬向农夫山泉方面求证,相关工作人员称公司对相关问题暂时没有回复。
据媒体报道,在2022年3月的一场分析师业绩会上,农夫山泉执行董事周震华曾直言,成本压力已经“超过企业单方面可以去消化的水平”,农夫山泉的首选是通过提升经营效率消化成本,而由于市场及成本端变动大,竞品也有调价动作,农夫山泉也在持续观望。
成本高企,提价会是最优解吗?
农夫山泉的确面临较大的成本压力。
数据显示,2022年上半年,农夫山泉毛利率由上年同期的60.9%下降至59.3%,原因则是国际原油价格变动导致集团PET采购成本提高。
据悉,PET是农夫山泉生产产品包装最主要的原材料。招股书数据显示,2019年,农夫山泉PET成本为33.82亿元,占销售成本总额的31.6%,同期纸箱、标签、收缩膜等包装材料成本占比31.5%。算下来,这两项成本就占到了农夫山泉销售成本的63.1%。
农夫山泉曾在2022年半年报中介绍,国际油价2022年上半年呈现快速上升、高位宽幅震荡走势,PET是原油的下游产品,原油价格的上升和不确定性给公司生产成本控制带来了压力。
在成本压力下,农夫山泉2022年上半年的业绩增速大幅放缓。数据显示,2022年上半年,农夫山泉实现总收入约165.99亿元,同比增长9.4%;母公司拥有人应占溢利46.08亿元,同比增长14.8%。而2021年上半年,农夫山泉总收入及母公司拥有人应占溢利分别同比增长31.4%、40.1%。
其中,农夫山泉主要收入来源——包装饮用水业务,受到了重创,收入增幅降为个位数。半年报显示,2022年上半年,农夫山泉包装饮用水产品实现收入93.49亿元,同比增长4.8%,占总收入的56.3%。而上年同期,包装饮用水产品收入同比增长25.6%。
农夫山泉曾解释称,2022年一季度包装饮用水销售整体向好,二季度则受到了疫情的冲击。
广东省食品安全保障促进会副会长、食品产业分析师朱丹蓬向中新经纬表示,涨价对于农夫山泉来说是一把“双刃剑”。“表面来说可能会提升农夫山泉的利润。农夫山泉保利润,并不是说它不赚钱了,而是它想在资本市场上得到更多投资者的青睐。但涨价之后,如果其他品牌没有跟进的话,它的市场份额或将受到影响。但如果说整个行业真的是成本非常高,大家集体涨价,那可能又不一样。”
据英敏特数据,2022年,国内瓶装水市场按销售额估算的市场份额前三名分别是农夫山泉(25.7%)、华润(旗下品牌怡宝,17%)和景田(旗下品牌百岁山,9.7%)。
至于其他品牌是否跟涨,朱丹蓬表示,中国饮用水竞争已经进入了非常内卷的周期,从水种来说,农夫山泉不具备优势;从品牌效应到规模效应,农夫山泉有优势但不是碾压式的优势,其他品牌应该不会跟进涨价。
(文中观点仅供参考,不构成投资建议,投资有风险,入市需谨慎。)
中新网评:美国众议长选举“连续剧”暴露美式民主痼疾******
中新网北京1月9日电(蒋鲤)在15轮投票表决后,美国众议院议长选举这场“连续剧”终于落下帷幕,众议院共和党领袖凯文•麦卡锡最终成功当选第55任美国众议院议长。这是美国国会过去164年来耗时最久的一次议长选举记录,将美国“对抗式民主”的弊端暴露无遗。
资料图:美国众议院共和党领袖麦卡锡。中新社记者 沙晗汀 摄由于两党对立加剧、党派内斗、利益分配不均等因素,众议长选举陷入一场拉锯战。在此次众议长竞选中,美国民主党议员继续抱团,多轮投票中,一票不投麦卡锡,共和党右翼“强硬派”领头的约20人小团体也拒绝投票麦卡锡。
麦卡锡的当选之路一波三折,除了本人的“政治投机派”角色在国会不受欢迎外,与共和党内部政治分歧关系密切。
一方面,共和党党内反对者认为,麦卡锡对民主党态度过于软弱,无力对抗民主党控制的参议院和拜登政府,另一方面,因为共和党的多数优势微弱,党内一些影响力较小的派系的政治力量则被放大,有利于他们巩固自己的选票。
此外,党内反对者也认为,自己的选票没有换取更多利益,希望以此作为筹码换取麦卡锡更大的让步,比如让他们获得众议院重要委员会中的职务。
作为仅次于美国总统、副总统的政坛三号人物,众议院议长通常由众议院多数党领袖担任,选举几乎没有悬念。然而,麦卡锡此次为当选,不得不做出多个关键让步,其中可能包括恢复一项罢黜议长动议机制,使得众议长的权力被削弱,难以掌控众议院。
美国有线电视新闻网CNN称,麦卡锡在这场不合时宜的政治勒索中作出让步,这种绥靖政策只会让极端主义势力更加强大。
这场引发全世界围观的尴尬选举暴露出美国政治存在严重的对立和分化。在权力博弈思维的裹挟下,党派利益凌驾于国家和人民利益之上,美国两党相互拆台,陷入“为反对而反对”的无脑对垒。而即便是一党内,也会因为利益分配问题产生不同的小派系,相互对抗,选票变成了谋利益的工具。
从国会山骚乱到打破记历史记录的15轮众议长选举,“对抗式民主”让美国政治陷入瓶颈,长期对抗势必会让政客们丧失客观公正的判断能力,其政治阶层是否有能力治理国家也会引发质疑。
两党之争和党派内斗进一步放大了美国政治体制弊病,美国所谓的“民主”形象,让全世界大跌眼镜。鼓吹以选民利益为先的美式选举,变成了政客们利益置换的游戏,进一步彰显出美国“民主政治”日渐失能,不断极化的党争已使美国政治制度陷入死循环。
House speaker election reveals deep-rooted problems in U.S. democracy
(ECNS) -- The Republican leader Kevin McCarthy was elected as the 55th speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives after 15 ballots. As the most grueling House speaker election in the past 164 years, the election has highlighted the defects of the country’s "confrontational democracy".
The election once reached a stalemate due to intense partisan strife, inner-party struggle among the Republicans, uneven distribution of interests, and more. Democratic Party members forged a close alliance, refusing to vote for McCarthy, while about 20 Republicans also declined to cast ballots for the GOP leader.
Except for his unpopular role as a "political speculator" in Congress, McCarthy’s hard-won election can be attributed to turmoil within the Republican Party.
On the one hand, opponents in the Republican Party believe that the GOP leader's attitude toward the Democrats is too weak to confront the Senate controlled by Democrats and the Biden administration.
On the other hand, the political power of some less influential factions in the Republican Party has been amplified due to the Party’s weak majority advantage in the House of Representatives, which is conducive to consolidating their ticket warehouses.
Meanwhile, these opponents believe that their votes failed to win them more benefits, hoping to use this as a bargaining chip for McCarthy's further concessions, such as getting them positions in important House Committees.
As the third political figure after the President and Vice President of the U.S., the speaker, by tradition, is the head of the majority party in the House of Representatives.
But McCarthy has made many concessions in order to bring the ultra conservatives along, involving what’s known as the “motion to vacate,” a mechanism by which members can force a vote to depose the speaker. The reported concessions will empower individual members at the expense of McCarthy’s sway as speaker.
CNN thought the concessions he made during this unseemly political shakedown would only make the extremist faction more powerful.
This embarrassing election, which has drawn global attention, exposed the serious opposition and polarization in American politics. Both Democrats and Republicans put their interests before that of the country and its people, attacking and opposing each other irrationally.
Besides, different factions arise within a single party and confront each other because of the distribution of interests. Votes have become a tool to win more benefits.
From Capitol riots to the House Speaker election with record-breaking ballots, "confrontational democracy" has become a bottleneck of American politics. Long-term confrontation will surely impede politicians to think objectively and fairly while their capacity of governing the country will also raise doubts among the public.
Both parties’ struggle and infighting among the Republicans have further amplified the defects of the American political system, with its "democratic" image shocking the world.
The U.S.-style election, which advocates putting voters' interests first, has become a game of interest exchange among politicians. In addition, it further demonstrates the malfunction of American "democratic politics" and the constantly polarized party struggle that has trapped the American political system into an infinite cycle.
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